Dryline Progression with AllSkyLAP

Noticed a glitchy progression in the AllSkyLAPs 900mb PWATs. Believe this might be from an updating GFS guidance, but this also occurred at a time when the areas west of the LUB CWA were transitioning from about half Cloudy, half GFS to mostly GFS. However, the updated location of the dryline was a closer approximation of the location of the dryline at the given time.

#ProtectAndDissipate

GOES All Sky LAP TPW and CIRA Merged TPW Cloud Mask Differences

At 22 UTC on 6 May 2019, the All Sky LAP and CIRA Merged TPW Data type products show differences in the cloud mask.  A shallow Cu field over NC / SC is indicated in GOES visible imagery,.  The data type masks of the two products (blue = clear; yellow / gray = clouds) show some clouds in the All Sky LAP mask, while the CIRA Merged TPW mask does not have these Cu detected.  This is likely due to the lower resolution (~ 15 km) of the GOES-16 TPW data used in Merged TPW versus the All Sky LAP resolution.

GOES-R TPW has a nominal resolution of 10 km.

JohnF

 

Differences in TPW and LAP in pre-storm environment over AMA

Noticed a major difference in the pre-storm environment at 17Z, just before convective initiation, between the TPW and LAPS products Total Precipitable Water Products. AllSkyLAP Total Precipitable H20 was observing ~1.25″ at 17Z whereas the Avd. Blended TPW observed ~0.7″ at 17Z. A special 17Z sounding observed 0.9″. While AllSkyLAP ‘looked’ more realistic from a mesoanalysis standpoint, the sounding was closer to the Adv. Blended TPW product. Would like to see more sounding verification between the 2 products.

#ProtectAndDissipate

AllSky vs GOES Products

One of the limitations of GOES TPW is that it will not display data when there is a significant amount of clouds in the area. AllSky Layer Precip is a great alternative to GOES TPW for areas that are experiencing clouds. The same goes for AllSky CAPE vs GOES CAPE. With a MOD Risk of svr wx today across the TX Panhandle, having the AllSky Data available greatly benefits forecasters today.