Outlook – 9 June 2010

We had a good discussion regarding last night’s events.  We started off with reviewing the GOES-R verification from CIMSS, actually for operations on the 7th and then the 8th.  We then moved to the MRMS review which prompted a good discussion on the use of divergence fields – particularly storm top divergence.  Chris showed a satellite div/vort field that is being jointly developed by CIMSS and NSSL via Bob Rabin.

As for today’s operations: We had hoped that we could perform realtime pGLM analyses using the NAL domain.  Early convection had suppressed that hope (excuse the pun) momentarily, but as the day continues, new/re development appears to be likely in the OHX/HUN areas which is advantageous to pGLM ops.

Kevin Manross (EWP Weekly Coordinator, 7-11 June 2010)

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Daily Summary – 8 June 2010

Well, though there was plenty of convection in the area we targeted today, there was not a great deal of severe out of the storms.  In fact, SPC canceled their TOR watch.  We are ending our ops at 0115z (9 June) and will fill out surveys and spend some time discussing today’s event.

Surveys took a little longer than I expected (especially since we asked the forecasters to fill out both the MRMS & GOESR surveys) so we ended once the surveys were completed.

Technical Issues of the Day:

  • tupelo failed to allow warnings after the first couple were issued.  We continued to use it for analysis, but didn’t issue any more warnings on it the rest of the day.  Update: Ben says that a reboot of the machine should fix the issue we were seeing (something along the lines of “WRKOUNWRK1 Cannot Connect”)
  • Merged Products stopped updating on all workstations around 2340z.  Restarted the notification server on PX1 and that fixed the issue
  • pGLM/GOESR archie case failed to update GOESR products.  Ben fixed this during the exercise

Kevin Manross (EWP Weekly Coordinator, 7-11 June 2010)

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Live Blog – 8 June 2010 (6:10pm)

We have Pat, Dan D and Frank on ‘higgins’ and ‘tupelo’ operating in the ICT CWA.  Andy and Dan N are on ‘moore’ and ‘plainfield’ issuing warnings in the TOP CWA.

Both MRMS and GOES-R products are being examined

We are having the teams split and do a dinner break in shifts to keep warnings ongoing.

Kevin Manross (EWP Weekly Coordinator, 7-11 June 2010)

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Live Blog – 8 June 2010 (3:35pm)

Dan D, who is working the ICT CWA has a severe storm forming right near KICT.  He’s gone ahead and fired off a warning – so we’re off and running.  Our IOP area appears very “juiced”:

Kevin Manross (EWP Weekly Coordinator, 7-11 June 2010)

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Outlook – 8 June 2010

We begin our first full day with a debrief/discussion from last night’s activities.  Dan D., Frank A., Pat S. Andy T. and Dan N. led off with a good discussion focusing on some of the merged grids as well as some discussion on polygon orientation.  The participants provided several good suggestions for products and product improvement.

We followed up with a discussion on today’s activities.  SPC has outlined a focused area in E KS, and we will plan out operations there.  We were hoping to get a good look at the GOES-R products, but there is considerable cirrus limiting the usability of that product in that area.  We have cheated out floater domain to provide some overlap to the W where the cirrus are less, and as I type, the UWCI product is lighting up over the TX PH. Also, a TOR watch has been issued for E KS.

Frank and Pat are running through an archive case for GOES-R / pGLM / LMA, while Dan, Dan and Andy are taking a look at the realtime GOES-R products.

We may take a 30 minute dinner break -or- start into MRMS/GOES-R ops (and do dinner in shifts) immediately after the archive case since we are expecting early initiation.

Kevin Manross (EWP Weekly Coordinator, 7-11 June 2010)

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Daily Summary – 7 June 2010

Group issued warnings until 0140 (8 June).  Seemed to take to analysis very quickly.  Several forecasters are already getting used to products.  We’ve gone ahead and asked them to fill out a survey (online – yay).  In the end, we had Andy and Frank issues warnings in North Platte’s (LBF) CWA after an attempt at GLD.  Dan N, Dan D, and Pat S focused on CYS all night and issued several SVR and TOR warnings.  We will spend a good amount of time tomorrow morning debriefing tonight’s event.

Technical issues of the Day:

  • Nothing major

Kevin Manross (EWP Weekly Coordinator, 7-11 June 2010)

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Live Blog – 7 June 2010 (6:40pm)

Greg is showing the MRMS/GOES-R products on AWIPS.  We’re focusing on the storms on the WY/NE border in the N part of the NWS CYS CWA.  Soon we will sit the dorecasters down and have them get their feet wet.

Kevin Manross (EWP Weekly Coordinator, 7-11 June 2010)

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Outlook – 7 June 2010

Today we start week 8 of the 2010 EWP.  Our visitors are Frank Alsheimer (WFO Charleston, SC), Dan Darbe (WFO Atlanta/Peachtree City, GA), Daniel Nietfeld (WFO Omaha, NE), Pat Spoden (WFO Paducah, KY), and Andy Taylor (Norman, OK).

We will start with training the forecasters on the new products they will see.  Training will start with GOES-R products (CI & Overshooting Tops-Thermal Couplet), followed immediately by LMA/GLM training.  We will take a break an then do MRMS training likely followed by observing realtime products to get the forecasters used to looking at the data.

Regarding today’s outlook.  There is a large slight risk area across the Central & High Plains stretching west across the WY/CO border and terminating in the northern half of Utah.

There is not strong confidence in getting much in the way of SVR in the OK domain today (the best chance of SVR among all the possible domains).  We will likely run our Introductory IOP in our Floater Domain and likely set that near NE CO/SW NE / SE WY where there is currently an MD as this entry is being typed.

Kevin Manross (EWP Weekly Coordinator, 7-11 June 2010)

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