ProbSevere and the GLM helped bring may attention to a storm in the northern portion of my CWA. ProbWind began exceeding 50% as the Flash Extent Density began spiking. This led to investigation of base radar data which led to a severe thunderstorm warning.
Noted a big jump in the merged 0-2km AZshear product – see below. This caused a corresponding jump in ProbTor. Also note the “double peak” likely caused by SAILS scans. This is an a favorable location with > 30kts of 0-3km shear – so mesovortex formation is possible. Will be interesting to see if anything develops….