Forecaster Thoughts – Milovan Radmanovac (2008 Week 6)

Coming from Serbia, my intention was to get familiar with the new technologies and new endeavors in meteorology, especially in radar meteorology, because that is the field where I’ve worked in for more than 15 years. The 2008 Experimental Warning Program spring experiment was a great opportunity to see the possibilities and practical implementation of some ongoing projects like the Phased Array Radar, CASA radars, probabilistic warnings…At the same time, through the EWP, I learned a lot about some other projects and systems (Mesonet, verification of severe weather, collaboration with TV and radio stations) and got a lot of ideas which can be applied or implemented within the meteorological services in Serbia. The Experimental Warning Project is especially important because there is the intention for improvement and modernization of the Serbian warning system, so the experience I got here will have a great practical value in my country.

Personally and on behalf of Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia, I’d like to thank you for being kind and making it possible for me to be a part of this program.

Milovan Radmanovac (Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia – Week 6 Participant)

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Summary – 5 June 2008

End of IOP. Sent forecasters home. CASA now sampling data but we will look at this first thing tomorrow. Most feedback today will be on long range PAR which is not the best especially since this was (so far) mainly a wind event.

Liz Quoetone (EWP Weekly Coordinator, 2-6 June)

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Live Blog – 5 June 2008 (8:19pm)

Will go live PAR to 9pm tonight with data finally getting close in PAR and just nudging into CASA. Chris and Milovan doing PAR/KTLX comparisons. Groups have conceded to high wind threat everywhere along line and are now looking for anything different than that.

Plan for tomorrow is to spend 1st hour reviewing a few minutes of both PAR and CASA as they finally get well sampled (later this evening). Group has worked this event much of the afternoon/evening and payoff is not coming til after they leave.

Liz Quoetone (EWP Weekly Coordinator, 2-6 June)

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Live Blog – 5 June 2008 (6:49pm)

Moving PAR wedge back southwest again by 10 degrees. There is a tradeoff between established storms moving northeast out of the area and up and coming cells moving in range from the southwest. Still no immediate hope for CASA.

Liz Quoetone (EWP Weekly Coordinator, 2-6 June)

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Live Blog – 5 June 2008 (5:51pm)

Storms moving 60-70mph thru outer edges of PAR network. Features getting interesting just beyond range (as seen on Vance 88D). CASA network remains untouched and it looks like things will really have to morph in order to make it in there by the end of this IOP.

Liz Quoetone (EWP Weekly Coordinator, 2-6 June)

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Live Blog – 5 June 2008 (3:35pm)

Storms have begun to fire over SW Oklahoma just inside the PAR network. Also have a fire going up in Gotebo which has resulted in the evauation of the entire town. We are currently running 2 PAR stations (Chris, Milovan and George, Jon). Will transistion one team to CASA later today if/when storms move into the CASA network. Right now we are estimating not before 5pm.

Liz Quoetone (EWP Weekly Coordinator, 2-6 June)

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