This storm started with what appears to be side lobe  contamination. TORP did identify this feature and put out low probabilities. I can see this as a positive since it does keep probabilities relatively low for sidelobe. Curious to see how it would react if the sidelobe contamination appeared stronger?

As the storm progressed, a well defined meso formed over southern Michigan. TORP recognized this relatively quickly and began putting out 70-80% probabilities.

A CC drop was noted at 2119Z for this storm. Here is the Az and Div shear values at that time. Overall, not a great response for a confirmed tornado.

-FujitaReno