SVR in the northwest, Charley

OT product showed a good updraft.  Also saw signal for a strong updraft in the Dawson county part of the line with 60+ knots inbound winds at the storm top.

SVR2_UEX_OT

SVR2_UEX_PS2

ProbSevere should not be useful, given this cell had been around for awhile and was more of a line, but still high.  Time series showed lightning dropping though further inspection showed lots of cell mergers and breaks occurring.SVR2_UEX_TallCell was tall still in the upper tilts, higher dbZ.

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Northern Storm Loses Lightning

Using 8km 5min total lightning grid and plot along with cell flash rate tracking, polygons, dangerous thunderstorm alerts to watch lightning trends. Kept the time series visible on the right.  Cell trended toward zero so letting the warning expire.  We did have a few instances where cells merged so lightning went to zero in the initial cell.

NorthStormLosesLTG

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NorthStormLosesLTG

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One-minute clearly showing boundaries ovr LOT

cu_1mingoes

Keeping an eye on the one-minute GOES super rapid scan with the CI product. You can clearly see the boundary and the lake breeze boundary on the satellite loop. You can see a weak shortwave denoted by the blue area on the CI product…we are thinking that once this intersects with the other boundaries we will get enough lift to break the weak cap and initiate convection.

front.2046z

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Lightning Drop

All the action across SE Lincoln Co has been becoming more and more disorganized. Decided to not reissue warning. The significant drop in lightning helped to back that thinking. -BT

lightning drop2 - D2D

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Rapid Scan

Looked at this briefly. Looping quickly, we were able to track the inflow to our storms in LBF. The overshooting top algorithm jived with the strongest storms in the DMA across SE Lincoln Co. -BT

rapidscan

 

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SPS for Dawson county Charley

Finally have the cell to our west edging into our region.  Given quite a bit of anvil clouds likely cooling that region down, would expect less winds.  Also line is showing evidence of weakening some.  Put out SPS for 40 mph and possible nickel-sized hail, despite upstream reports of some larger hail.

SPS1_UEX

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