
As has been noted, TORP lead time is nearly non-existent when it comes to QLCS events. This is especially true when applying a threshold filter >40-50%. However, in this case and others assessed so far this week, FAR with TORP is relatively low for even these marginal/transient cases. The example above displays nearly zero lead time to confirmed event (~1244 UTC), though would be eye-catching should a TOR warning not yet be in place. -QLCS

AzShear started to light up at 1214z. Given the environment, it would have been difficult to lean on AzShear and make a tornado warning decision before any signature developed on radar, but in hindsight some lead time may have been possible using that 1214z AzShear signature. -newt











