During the slow portion of our CWA being in three tornado watches (for a much longer time than one might think), we noticed a TORP object along a meager looking meso. Probabilities were relatively low sitting around 25% which we tended to agree with due to the lack of promising features among base radar products. And then we decided to entertain a look at the ProbTor model and found an estimate of 58% for the same meso. This was clearly blowing the probabilities out of the water and TORP was able to give us confidence in disregarding ProbTor’s input in this case.

It’s nice to see even just one example of TORP trumping the aged ProbTor model.

-Wx Warlock