BMX – Daily Updates

GLM proved useful early on in combination with MRMS VII. It showed areas of strengthening storms that were reflected in radar later. A pair of severe warnings were then issued.

This was a good prob severe null case where odds remained steady along with stationary or declining GLM values. A correct no-issuance followed even with base velocity showing 50 kts or so of wind on the lowest scan. Some other prob severe oddities occurred during the day such as odd object tracking and weird percentage changes. QLCS tornado odds seemed too low as discussed. Overall though, it continues to provide useful information.

The PHS forecast again correctly identified the highest risk areas where storms strengthened and tracked. It mirrored other sources so I would still like to see if overall it is better or not.

Prob severe highlighted this storm ahead of time before it went severe in Mobile’s area.

NUCAPS provided limited use today. Overall, heavy cloud cover limited usefulness of a number of products compared to the clearer case in Texas the day before.

Some Random Guy