Simulated Satellite to Early

Was comparing the simulated satellite to observations to attempt to get a handle on the pre-convective environment. It appears that the simulated satellite today is to quick in developing convection from southern KY into TN. It also is not handling the convection that is developing over eastern KS well. Finally it has convection developing over southwest KS that is not there in reality. This lowers the confidence in the forecast of this model for later in the day.

-JB

early_convection_initiation

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