While looking at the 5 KM derived radar reflectivity from the OUN-WRF in order to diagnose strongest cores aloft for the greatest hail potential, I noted a particular item of interest in northern Lincoln County, Colorado.  The reflectivity core clearly splits, which gives us an indication of expected storm tendency.  We can expect that splitting will occur which will place an emphasis on hail with the left moving storm and all modes of severe weather with the right moving storm.  The right moving storm eventually seems to gain a definitive supercell structure in Kit Carson County.  Such a storm would likely be the highest tornado threat in eastern Colorado today.

– JRM