vLAPS Surface CAPE

I loaded the surfaced based CAPE product from the vLAPS and below is the 1-hr forecast. The interesting area is over lake MI where the water temperature is still very cold, generally in the 40s F, and the model is indicating SBCAPE values of 1500-2500 j/kg over the central and southern area of the lake. This seems to be overdone given the very cold surface temperatures.

-JB

strange_cape_20_2330

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