Outlook – 7 May 2009

It looks like a return to North Carolina today.  Currently, SPC’s day 1 outlook is on the fringes of all of our LMA network domains and the timing is not there for a possible real-time PAR exercise as the models have convection late on the edge of the PAR domain.  However, per NSSL WRF and NWSFO RAH’s local WRF, it appears we will have another opportunity at storms in North Carolina today.  These models are suggesting storms will develop in central NC in the 18-20Z timeframe and then move east.  The models also suggest a complex of storms will form before moving off the coast.  This allows for the possibility of an extended MR/MS IOP with a good mix of storm mode, including supercells.

Kiel Ortega (EWP Weekly Coordinator, 4 – 8 May 2009)

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