Precipitable Water Overview

Looking at the different precipitable water (PW) products available in the HWT and doing a quick overview the All-Sky products provides a great first guess to fill in the PW where it is cloudy. Both the Merged TPW and the All-Sky take the first step in filling in where there are clouds. The image below  shows the sheer volume of data that isn’t available due to the pesky cloud cover. The 4-Panel to the left shows the All-Sky PW and CAPE on top vs. the raw derived PW and CAPE from GOES-16. On the right you can see the visible satellite and the All-Sky mask showing that most of the data, especially over Texas and Oklahoma is raw GFS (gray areas) at this point.

Looking at the Blended TWP vs. the All-Sky there are significant differences over north Texas and Oklahoma for this time frame. The BTWP product “is not forecast model dependent. ATPW uses  GFS model winds to advect the microwave retrievals and the GOES-16 component uses GFS in its TPW solution.” You can see where the blended product (big window below) only shows about 0.75 in PW, while the All-Sky is showing 1.25 in. across the Norman WFO. This can make a big difference when looking at rainfall forecasting and trying to assess just how much moisture in the atmosphere is over an area. In this case would certainly lean towards the All-Sky and then compare the information to other model soundings (from the HRRR, NAM, ECMWF, etc.) and to actual Upper Air soundings to see how the areas populated by the raw GFS are doing.

-Alexander T.

ProbSevere: Color Table Modification

While I’ve been a big fan of the ProbSevere Model for some time now, the default color curve has always been a little challenging for me to differentiate between the different percentages. Trying to find the right balance between the radar color tables and ProbSevere I know can be tough, but here’s my first go at attempting to better differentiate when the percentages move into the next 10% range. Unfortunately, I’m unable to really test this modified color table out since we’re currently not getting radar data in from the Davenport area, so will reassess this once I’m able to overlay the model output with radar imagery. But, just having the colors pop a little more is already helpful to me! Oh, and I’m very appreciative that ProbSevere v.2 now includes the separated values (i.e. ProbWind, ProbHail, ProbTor). Looking forward to testing this out once there’s a case to evaluate with it.

*Note: As of this posting, WFO DVN issued a Severe Thunderstorm Warning.

~Gritty

Test Post – 2019 HWT Experiment

The first operational week for the 2019 Satellite & Radar Convective Applications Experiment begins next week, 22-26 April.  Some information before your participation begins:

Plan to arrive at the NWC at 11 am on Monday so that we can escort you into the National Weather Center (NWC).  When you arrive, please park in the visitor’s parking lot (the row nearest the building).  After you park, enter in the first floor entrance of the NWC on the northeast side of the building.  When you arrive, wait for Michael Bowlan at the first floor entrance by the security desk.

If you are a NOAA visitor, please wear your NOAA ID at all times within the NWC.  Non-NOAA visitors will receive a “NOAA Visitor” lanyard (from Michael Bowlan).  Additionally, we’ll issue magnetic key cards to enter specific areas in the building (NOAA visitors only).  After this, we will provide a short tour of the NWC so that you can get acquainted with the NWC.

Since our Monday shift starts at 11 am, we will have a brief lunch break during our orientation.  You may bring your own lunch (we have a refrigerator), or you may purchase one at our Flying Cow Cafe on the 1st floor.  The Flying Cow is open all week, from 8:00 AM to 3:00 PM.

Training materials are available on the 2019 EWP website. Please be sure to complete the modules before you arrive.  Also, please have your NWSChat username / password at the ready, as this will be useful during the week.  Finally, if you have any special needs concerning AWIPS-2 color tables, let me know.  If need be, we can upload any special procedures you may have.

We are eagerly awaiting your arrival, and hope you find the EWP experience worthwhile.

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