warning vs prob sereve

possible warningThis loop shows over 3 volume scans the prob severe going from 66 to 94% at 21z, but as of 2115z there is still no warning issued, even though several storms around this one with similar characteristics are warned. And as of 2115z…the prob severe is 97%!

The WFO issued a severe thunderstorm warning at 2119z with a prob severe of 96%.

jca

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