Once again, the LWX CWA and the LMA domain is active with a SVR watch already out.  SBCAPE is around 2000 across VA, particularly well south of the quasi stationary frontal boundary that has been around for several days.  This will primarily be a wind threat with a marginal hail threat.  With very high CAPE possible across E. VA, SPC issued a 2% tornado threat.  Deep layer shear is once again paltry, with around 30 kts.  Areas with weak easterly winds, near the frontal boundary, will see the greatest deep layer shear.  The group will work an LMA IOP for the Sterling CWA until dinner time (5 or 530ish), then work a PAR/CASA tag team archived event.

Medford will again see severe storms this evening, but it was decided to focus on the LMA network and PAR/CASA archived events.  Tomorrow Medford is once again in a slight risk, so that could be an alternate IOP to the very weak CAPE/Shear expected in eastern Colorado (see graphic below).

Schedule:

230-500 PM: LMA IOP for the LWX Domain
500-530 PM: Dinner
530-700 PM: PAR/CASA Archived event tag team (one group on PAR, other on CASA, then switch at 700)
700-830 PM: PAR/CASA Archived event tag team

Liz Quoetone and Paul Schlatter (EWP Weekly Coordinators, 1-5 June 2009)