Today, we are focusing on the southern High Plains, where a shortwave trough will impinge upon a moist and unstable airmass.  Deep-layer shear favors supercells in initial development, and a tornado threat may emerge, given the presence of adequate low-level shear/CAPE from west Texas to southeast Colorado.  Later this evening, the threat should transition toward damaging winds, as cold pools merge to form an organized linear convective system.

Three county warning areas were selected for product evaluation: Albuquerque, Midland, and Lubbock.   It appears that this will be another opportunity to evaluate the OUN WRF and the Lightning Mapping Array network (Lubbock CWA).

-G. Garfield, Week 5 Coordinator