A weak line of thunderstorms developed and moved into the southern portion of Great Falls, Montana CWA (WFO TFX). Based on MRMS, the storms appeared to be weakening with MRMS and lightningcast V2 began to lower probabilities of lightning quicker than V1. However, slightly after the lightning decreased in V2, both versions increased probabilities of lightning within the next hour to above 90%. Maybe V1 does better with pulsing storms or maybe it was just a single case scenario where V2 dropped in probabilities during what it believed was decaying convection, when in reality it was pulse-like convection.

– Aurora Borealis