LightningCast seems to be doing its job quite well as it honed in on a small area in southeast KS with ample lead time (2042Z with more strikes appearing at 2056Z west of Jasper). This would be extremely useful for event deployments and getting ample lead time for our partners as seen below.
Regarding GREMLIN, it does a spectacular job identifying CI along boundaries (in this case, the dryline), somewhat ahead of time compared to MRMS reflectivity.
In this case, it appears to have picked up on more robust CI well ahead of time in TOP’s area. However, it does not appear to be super consistent later on with really capturing how robust some of these cells ended up later on, likely due to overall resolution of the product as well as lightning activity as these cells matured.
Lastly, regarding OCTANE, it did a great job on picking up a cell with ample cooling initially (reds and yellows) followed by strong divergence aloft (purples and pinks). This storm would go on to further intensify down the road.
This cluster of storms would then go on to produce multiple 60mph+ severe gusts.=
– Ryan Cooper
