Watching a supercell near Bismarck…

It was clear from the hail core aloft that this was severe. However, it was obvious around 2152Z that the RFD gusted out as was seen on reflectivity initially, and then later on the velocity images as the winds became less perpendicular to the beam. However, ProbTor continued to carry high probabilities, and even increased when it was clear on the velocity images there was no tornado threat.  ProbTor was only keying on the outflow boundary.  MRMS Rotation Tracks were also showing a swath of higher values along the outflow boundary.

-Tempest Sooner