Pinwheel Fronts In The Dakotas

Mid afternoon into early evening saw a bretty good bloom of supercells along a SSW-NNE Cold Fronf in North Dakota…

Thru the period the SVRProb and SVRtor seemed to regularly over warn during this outbreak, BUT SVRHail was spot on, a little False Alarm-y, but it sure didn’t miss the Large Hail reports, with %s >90 both instances.  The RGB Day Convection GOES product seemed to respond pretty well with the hail instances as well.

Afternoon NUCAPS over forecast the CAPEs by ~ 500, PW by 0.2″, did well with the Downrush temp and DCAPE tho.