No dissipating today! Probably because this case already happened…
Starting out with the AzShear case study, I can already see some of the lead time AzShear can help bring to some of these warnings. On this day, given environmental parameters, it wouldn’t take much to issue a warning with these storms. Even then AzShear help highlight potential areas of rotation where the radar velocity field looked primarily convergent.
2200Z:
2201Z:
2203Z: Now the radar velocity field is showing more signs of a potential TS.
2204Z: Thank goodness for SAILS3! Boom, AzShear lights up like a Christmas tree with a partial TVS (inbound velocities are a bit wonky)
With the AzShear, lead time may have been increased by about 3-4 minutes if you were waiting for a rotational signature before issuance
#ProtectAndDissipate