Picking out the Little Circulations within the Bigger Lines

Zoomed out from the single radar (KMXX) in this case there is a lot of convergence going on along the line of thunderstorms but in this view you might not notice that a small circulation has formed in the velocity data. There is no obvious reflectivity signature but there is a local max in the AzShear Data – in this cased the Merged AzShear 0-2km AGL data. Lets investigate that further. 

Zooming into the Merged Maxima you can now see a clear couplet in the SRM velocity data. And the pink tornado track line does confirm a tornado formed at this point. This is an example where on a broad scale the Merged Product (and the single radar as well) provided some Situational Awareness to a tornado that was not visible on the single KMXX velocity very readily.

Based on a rough guestimate a warning off of the Merged AzShear data would have given an additional 2-4 minute lead time to when the tornado formed in this case. An added bonus is that the Merged AzShear product decreased in intensity as the tornado dissipated just a few minutes later (see below). Going later in time the Merged AzShear does increase again, but the KMXX velocity couple remains rather diffuse and broad. The circulation does go onto later produce a tornado so the Merged AzShear product is at least indicating this is an area to keep monitoring. It is possible other local radars like KEOX, just to the south of this storm would have a better view of the couplet/storm.

-Alexander T.

 

AzShear False Alarm

In this example, AzShear has highlighted a supercell that fails to produce a tornado. I suspect the cell merging from the south had a lot to do with the failed tornadogenesis, but this signal on other storms for this case was indicative of a tornado.Sandor Clegane

Highs and Lows of the Merged AzShear Product – Double Peaks vs. Viewing through the “purple haze”

In the image above you can see that the AzShear and the Velocity product from the single radar have the circulation now lost in the infamous ‘purple haze’. One of the benefits of any MRMS product and in this case the Merged AzShear product is visibility in times like this. Neighboring radars (either individually or in the Merged Product) would still show the ongoing circulation. So lets take a look!

In the merged product you can indeed still see the circulation going strong in the Merged AzShear product, continuing to follow the pink tornado track, while the velocity couplet remains hidden (we are also getting far from the radar so we are looking well aloft in the storm). BUT the one noticeable feature of the Merged AzShear is the triple maxima in this case due to the SAILS cuts making their way into the Merged AzShear product.

Again this triple maxima is an artifact that training and experience would negate, but does show some of the good and the bad in terms of the Merged AzShear.

-Alexander T.

AzShear Remain High Even When Couplet Is Less Obvious

Later in the life of the storm, AzShear remains relatively high, even as the couplet in SRM is less obvious (though still there). This would boost confidence to keep a tornado warning going.However, toward the end of the tornado track both velocity and AzShear wash out before the tornado ceases (pink line).Sandor Clegane

Using Upper Tilts to Dismiss Errors in AzShear Single Radar 0.5 Degree/Merged 0-2km Data

One usefulness of the upper tilts in the Single Radar AzShear product is to be able to check and dismiss any erroneous data in the 0.5 degree tilt. In the image below you can see some speckled erroneous data in the 0.5 degree tilt ahead of the main line of storms. It could appear at a quick glance to be small spin ups in the AzShear data, but just quickly looking at the Velocity or Reflectivity shows that this is erroneous data.

 

Another check is just doing a quick check of the 0.9 degree tilt. Those local max in the AzShear are not present even just one tilt above. If these were to be real circulations you would expect depth in the circulation.

It is worth noting that these errors to at times make their way into the Merged AzShear product at least at the lower 0.2km AGL product. You can see that example below of the brighter reds below the large maxima in the center of the AzShear product. Even after only 2 days of looking at the AzShear products the large maxima keeps all of my attention, but someone looking at this product for the first time may see the brighter reds to the south and wonder about those.

-Alexander T.

 

 

AzShear First Clue For Tornado Warning?

In the first image below, there is clearly a strong supercell that undoubtedly warrants a severe thunderstorm warning. Without having a full picture of what the environment looks like, and without looking at additional radar products, I can’t say for certain whether or not it should have tornado warning, given the strong convergant but non-rotational signature.In this next image, a couple of AzShear features stand out to me. 1) Positive values of AzShear have begun spiking on the north side of the convergant zone. 2) I believe that you’ve seeing the RFD start to kick downstream. Shortly thereafter, the storm develops a very clear couplet and it is clear this storm deserves a tornado warning. The tornado survey revealed that the tornado began when the second image in this post was captured. AzShear did a nice job highlighting important features on this storm, and may have lead to additional lead time on a tornado warning.Sandor Clegane