Holding off

We held off on issuing a warning for a cell moving into our CWA from Dawson County to the south where it produced 3″ diameter hail at 2305 UTC. For 3 reasons we held off.

1. the near storm environment had already been worked over by previous storms and radar showed stratiform rain falling in our area.

2. Prob Severe dropped from 96% at 2316 UTC to 41% at 2326 to 5% at 2330.

3. Lightning was not very impressive and diminished to near zero in the time series plot.



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