Rapidly intensifying storms entering the OUN cwa where picked up well on ProbSevere, with them quickly rising to 90%. Based of the reflectivity cores aloft, broad rotation, and the rapid increase in ProbSevere, have issued warnings for multiple storms in the SW corner of the cwa (at 1922 and 1924Z).

While the ProbSevere and cores aloft support the warnings, lightning data has been struggling so far with the peak lightning cell data only around the mid 20s.

Finally, here is a look at the time series for the strongest cell, with a few jumps but overall limited flash amounts.

Will be monitoring the lightning trends and see if the data catches up with the radar and ProbSevere appearance.

-SRF