Rapid Increase in ProbSevere

While we were writing up a previous blog post, we noticed rapid increase in the ProbSevere for a storm to the west of the OUN radar. The ProbSevere quickly ramped up from 9% to 94% as seen in the two images below.

20150507_1827Z_Radar_PS20150507_1832Z_Radar_PSSeeing that rapid increase was noticeable to both of us as were were typing up other blog posts and prompted us the interrogate the radar data. While the core looked small initially, the idea shown by the ProbSevere was right on.

Finally, with the location of the cell being right under the clouds from upstream convection (see image below), it led to N/A values on the satellite data.

20150507_1830Z_Sat_Radar-SRF

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