The Probability Severe and ENI Thunderstorm Alerts seem to have differing opinions on a couple cells in the ABQ CWA.

At 1932Z, the cell to the north has a Dangerous Thunderstorm box, yet a prob severe of only 17%. Meanwhile, the southernmost cell has a prob severe of 78% but is only considered a “significant” thunderstorm.

At 1940Z, the prob severe of the south cell went up to 82% with no DTA, and the cell the the north went up to 43%. It’s interesting to note these cells are approaching the east/west boundary of the ENI Thunderstorm Alerts. No alerts showed up for the “east” algorithm either.

The storms are still pulsing down just as quickly as they develop. They really only look impressive for 1-2 volume scans. No hail or wind reports yet, just the funnel cloud near Roswell earlier.

-V. Darkbloom