Convective Initiation in Southwest Kansas

Looking at the Convective initiation product over southwest Kansas in an area where the earlier cirrus had cleared out showed some enhanced probabilities in the 60-70% range at 2000 UTC over Hodegman county, KS.

SW_KS_CI_2000utc

At that time there was not any radar returns showing up in that part of the county where the CI was identified.  When looking at the radar imagery at 2045 UTC there was new convection that had developed across northeastern Hodgeman county.  I think this is a great example of the benefit of the CI product and how it does especially well in environments where only cumulus cloud development is occurring.

SW_KS_CI_2045utc

I think this can be a very useful product in the WFO, especially in offices where pulse convection can be a problem, such as the eastern United States.

Jack Bauer

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