Watching rapidly dev cell (center of image) it is on extreme theta e boundary (warm front i suspect) and prob severe is jumping rapidly from 27% at 2028Z and at 2030 jumped to 59%. The satellite signals both went strong (prob SVR) in the second update both vert growth rate and glaciation. MUCAPE around 4600 on this cell from prob severe algorithm.

CI at 2014 was up to 46% on this cell. now at 2038Z prob svr is 78%

dsatterfield