Convection continues to develop and move southeast out of KY into TN. The strongest storms are moving southeast within the greatest convective instability indicated on the NearCast model. Although the model has holes across the OH and TN Valleys, extrapolation of the southern gradient of the instability axis indicates that the storms on the western side of the line may be in a less favorable environment for strong updrafts. Radar supports that storms are weaker in this area as well.

-JB