The convective initiation product is performing much better today as compared to what I was looking at yesterday. At 1815Z, 50% probs began to appear across the northern portions of IND’s CWA with a 60% area appearing at the intersection of the LOT/IWX/IND CWAs. At 1825Z & 1830Z, 70% CI probs had appeared just to the west of the supercell that was already underway and by 1837Z, the probabilities maxed out over 90%. Check out the loop below.

In the next still image, I outlined the area that my partner and I are watching this afternoon, which matches exactly with where the CI product is highlighting (1837Z).

Below is a KIND radar loop between 1832Z and 1910Z, again outlining where convection is firing up across the northern CWA.

~Linda