In the image above the NearCast model indicates a gradient in the theta-e across western into northeast Nebraska. The visible satellite image (upper right) indicates a line of congestus along this gradient from near the SD border into central Nebraska. The GOES-R CI indicates some fairly high probability of initiation in this CU field. It is interesting though because this area is behind the surface front and there is little surface forcing for CI. Given the large-scale and mesoscale forcing in this area it seems like CI would be unlikely.

-JB