CIMSS NearCast Vertical ThetaE Minima May Have Great Handle on Convection in Arkansas

The CIMSS NearCast Vertical Theta-e Difference Mid-Low product depicted a minimum area of values -2 to -3 K at 19 UTC on May 15 in southwest Arkansas (top image).  The next two images of this variable depicted at 22 UTC and 24 UTC has this minimum area moving east southeast into southeast Arkansas around 22 UTC then northwest Mississippi by 24 UTC.  I wonder if storm development will follow this minima area for the next few hours.  If so, the NearCast forecast tool would be especially useful in near term forecasting (1-6 hr) and can give forecasters a heads up where and when convection occurs.

19UTCNearCastVerticalThetaEMidLowDif051514 22UTCNearCastVerticalThetaEDifMidLow05151424UTCNearCastVerticalThetaEMidLow051614Michael Scotten

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