The ProbSevere Model is doing a great job highlighting the strongest cells. In this image from 2208z the ProbSevere Model is overlaid on top of the MRMS reflectivity above the -20C isothermal level. The cells annotated with an arrow across eastern IA, southern WI, and north-central IL have 50dBz echoes above the -20C isotherm and the model indicates an 80+% prob of severe.

There were hail reports from three of the four cores highlighted. The lower left produced Quarter sized hail in Henry county IA with the MESH indicating 2.5in, The upper left storm produced reported penny sized hail in Johnson county IA with MESH of 0.89in and the upper right storm produced nickel sized hail in Racine county WI with a MESH of 1.13in. The MESH product is overdone in this example.

Shawn Smith