Was very impressed with the accuracy of the WRF simulated IR given that the image valid at 23z is a 23hr forecast and was very close to verifying. See the two images below.

This nearcast shows a very unstable environment through the night, which should sustain the convective bow as it tracks across Louisiana. The instability and environment actually seems to improve based on this Nearcast model. Will see if this verifies.

Wesely