Meso-Scale LAPS_OUN_1km

2015ZRadar LAPS_dbz_valid2015Z LAPS_dbz_valid2130zI like the 15 min forecast time steps of the LAPS_OUN_1km data. The most noticeable feature is a secondary sfc CAPE maximum about 2 counties out ahead of the current line of convection. The LAPS fcst maximum base reflectivity continues to try and develop a secondary line of potentially severe convection 50 to 60 miles out ahead of the current line of convection over east TX. May want to watch satellite for cloud cooling trends and possible initiation of new severe convection out ahead of the current line of storms over east TX. These new cells would be forming in a very volatile environment and thus will quickly become severe assuming they form as LAPS data has been trying to indicate. Thus far this new convection out ahead of the line has not been forming, but should be monitored as the LAPS is persistent in trying to develop this convection.

Wesely

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