Can it be…LAPS CAPE is wrong?

Storms continue in a linear convective mode across the GLD CWA.  The 18Z run of the LAPS suggested lower instability ahead of the line as it continues to sink south.  Here is the current setup.  As you can see, the storms are maintaining some level of strength as they move into this supposedly more hostile environment.  The mesoscale desk noted that the GOES NEARCAST products maintained higher instability across the CWA and are probably more correct in this scenario.  Just goes to show that no product is right all of the time, or even most of the time!

CL

LAPS_radar_051613_2153

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