Models have been trending upward for severe chances in southwest Texas for today and the most recent day 1 outlook from SPC has moved from a “see text” to an actual “slight risk” for the region. The combination of a dryline circulation, forced lifting and an upper-level jet streak will increase the probability of severe weather compared to the western great lakes region we had previously targeted which is still dealing with a lack of moisture and a strong cap.
Possible CWAs: San Angelo, Austin/San Antonio, Midland
K. Calhoun, Week 2 Coordinator