2000z Mesoscale Discussion

Destabilization continues to occur further north into the southwestern portions of the OUN CWA. Surface CAPE values are approaching 3000 J/kg and CIN values are near zero. One severe storm has developed along the surface boundary and additional thunderstorms should develop.

In the SJT CWA, thunderstorms continue along the cold front/dryline. Thunderstorms should continue to build southward into the instability axis to the south. CAPE values remain in the 2500 to 3000 j/kg range with little CIN.

The severe storms in the southern FWD CWA continues to track ESE, but with no additional severe activity expected in the near-term, the FWD team has no moved into the OUN CWA where additional storms are expected and the pGLM data can be utilized.

Red outlines mark highest confidence for significant severe weather.
Red outlines mark highest confidence for significant severe weather.

Hampshire

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