Developing supercells over the TX panhandle became severe appox 30 to 45 min after a significant CTC signal. This signal is shown below in the upper left corner of the 4 panel. 30 to 45 min. after the minimum CTC value of -33, MESH indicated 1 inch or larger hail. This is displayed in the second image below. Of note is how well the CTC algorithm is performing despite a modest cirrus shield.
Austin