GOES CI products from UAH and CIMMS not showing a sustained area of CI across Ern NM and SW TX. SE Colorado had some nice CI and subsequent deep convection.

If we can overcome CAP, storms in Ern NM/SW TX will have a lot of CAPE to work with with above normal vertical wind shear for this time of year. SPC has issued an MD for possible severe tstorm watch for SE NM/SW TX.  Not talking it up too much however.

19Z OUNWRF showing that AMA and SJT WFOs may have the most action tonight. We’ll see…..

SNELSON/SKOV