EWP STATUS FOR 12 JUNE 2012: 1-9pm SHIFT

On Tuesday, we will begin our shift at 1 p.m.  The NAM depicts a weak shortwave trough entering the southern High Plains by mid-afternoon.  Forecast thermodynamic and kinematic profiles strongly support supercells, given convective initiation.  All modes of severe will be possible (wind, hail, and tornadoes), given the degree of low-level CAPE and low-level shear.  At this time, the Midland, Lubbock, Albuquerque, and Pueblo CWAs are the most likely candidates for severe operations.   Given the geography of the severe threat, the OUN WRF and the Lightning Mapping Array platforms are likely to be evaluated.

– G. Garfield, Week 5 Coordinator