The image below (Figure 1) illustrates the potential for convective initiation, using the UAH-CI tool. The high altitude jet routes overlaid with the CI and latest satellite data show the potential impacts to aviation. I expect that the CI tool will be very useful in operations – especially at the CWSUs.

TMU is always asking about timing and location of convective development. Things become problematic when routes need to be changed at the last second as a result of developing thunderstorms. If we have more tools to provide a larger lead time, TMU personnel can plan farther in advance – which leads to saving money and time…and stress!