AMA: OUNwrf on storm mode

Another capture above from the OUN wrf model output max hourly surface winds at 21z. Regardless of storm coverage, the OUN wrf shows great skill in predicting storm mode. Nearly annular outflows predict pulse storms with a threat of mainly damaging winds. Based on lack of upper flow and high surface instability, the model seems to have the right idea. Values in the image above indicate wind speeds from the strongest individual cells could approach 60-70 mph, which is certainly reasonable given the “inverted-V” nature of surrounding model soundings.

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