Outlook – 14 June 2010

Today we start week 9 of the 2010 EWP.  Our visitors are Angela Lese (WFO Louisville, KY), Melissa Kreller (Southern Region HQ, Fort Worth, TX), Marcus Austin (WFO Tallahassee, FL), and Dave Sharp (Melbourne, FL).

A long stationary front is draped across the southern plains, with a late season strong 500 mb jet max overhead.  This will provide severe weather and flash flooding opportunities from a broad region from the south Texas plains through central Oklahoma.  SPC highlights the area with a Slight Risk, and best chances of supercells over the Texas portion of the risk area where the deep layer shear is more adequate.

Because central Oklahoma is under the convective gun today, we opted to operate within the Lightning Mapping Array (LMA) network there.  Unfortunately, the morning flash flood over OKC (10″+) have caused some outages in the LMA netork, and thus it is unavailable.

Therefore, we are going to complete training through 530pm, break for dinner, and then do a short IOP focused on the 5% SPC tornado risk in Texas.  Most likley, we will act as WFOs Lubbock, Midland, San Angelo, or Norman (the latter, for the NW TX counties).

Greg Stumpf (EWP Weekly Coordinator, 14-18 June 2010)

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