Outlook – 6 May 2009

Again today convection was mistimed in travelling through an LMA area during the morning hours.  Currently, a broken cell squall line is moving through Alabama; this is on the eastern edge of a solid line which extends from just east of Dallas into Mississippi.  Currently a tornado watch is out for the broken line until 23Z.  High-res WRF runs break out convection in NC and VA during the evening hours, which should provide for an evening MR/MS IOP area.

Kiel Ortega

Forecasted 1km reflectivity from EMC WRF
Forecasted 1km reflectivity from EMC WRF valid 00Z 7 May 2009
Composite reflectivity at 1510 UTC
Composite reflectivity at 6 May 2009 1510 UTC

Kiel Ortega (EWP Weekly Coordinator, 4 – 8 May 2009)

Tags: None