Cindy is in the driver’s seat for probwarn while Craig, Bill and Brian are contributors. The southeastern supercell underwent a major occlusion with an incredibly aggressive, hail-filled RFD and now the storm cycled down a little. However 100% hail probability is gauranteed and ended with 70% at 30 min. The storm following behind was warned for a 70% hail and kept it that high.

The low-level reflectivity and even the MESH show a hole in the middle of the storm as a result of the core in the RFD wrapping all the way around until it met the forward flank core. New convection exploded on the leading edge of the RFD.

Jim LaDue (EWP Weekly Coordinator, 5-9 May)