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Category: ProbSevere

ProbSevere, Lightning Jump warning

Posted in Lightning Jump Algorithm, Live Blogs, ProbSevere on April 19, 2016 by Kristin Calhoun.

Analysis of storm at 21:32z shows 86% svr prob, growth moderate, glaciation weak. Lighting jump was huge at 8!

DBZ reflectivity is at 63. Even though glaciation is weak. Storm shows characteristics of large hail. Decide to issue warning for hail at 21:52z. Beat actual CWA warning by a few minutes.

ProbSvr1

ProbSvr2

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