The latest run of the OUN WRF is verifying nicely with no significant thunderstorm development. Persistent attempts in the north central Colfax county (elevation around 7500 ft) have amounted to very little.

MESH product has maxed out at 0.08″. Both the KABX and KFDX have had a 40 dbz echo that is gone up to about 30kft.

We’re not hopeful with much development east of the mountains, based on atmospheric conditions and +3 hour OUN WRF forecasts (convection is expected to be more in Amarillo’s CWA by that time). Here is the 0030z forecast based off the 20z OUN WRF: