LUB: GOES Simulated Satellite

GOES 20z simulate satellite on 5/21 indicates deep moist convection breaking out over western OK and portions of northwest TX (above two images…20 hour forecast).  This is optimistic compared to 20z IR/WV (bottom two images).  However, convection over NM is verifying nicely.  Maybe simulated satellite handles orographically forced convection better?

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